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Author: Dunlop, Erin
Resulting in 1 citation.
1. Dunlop, Erin
America's College Dropout Epidemic: Understanding the College Dropout Population
Presented: Washington, DC, Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM) Annual Fall Research Conference, November 7-9, 2013
Cohort(s): NLSY79, NLSY97
Publisher: Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM)
Keyword(s): College Dropouts; College Graduates

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

The goal of this paper is to educate policymakers on the types of students who drop out, and to identify correlates to college failure. Are college dropouts observationally more similar to college completers or students who never enter college? The answer to this question can inform administrators working to increase college completion rates. Do we predict success for four-year college dropouts had they attended two-year schools? Is there high school information such as prior achievement and course taking, that strongly predicts a failure to complete college? Our analysis begins using the NLSY97, a longitudinal study of 9,000 youths who were 12-16 years old when the study began in 1997. The richly detailed survey allows us to control for a detailed set of student characteristics and prior academic achievement in our analysis. This paper also examines the NLSY79, a similar longitudinal data set that surveyed youth who entered college approximately 20 years before the NLSY97 students. Using this second data set allows for comparisons of both the types of students who fail to complete college, as well as the predictors of college failure, over time. While this is only a descriptive analysis, until more is understood about the types of students who drop out of college, there will likely be little progress in reducing the college failure rate in the U.S.
Bibliography Citation
Dunlop, Erin. "America's College Dropout Epidemic: Understanding the College Dropout Population." Presented: Washington, DC, Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM) Annual Fall Research Conference, November 7-9, 2013.