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Author: Mackay, Taylor
Resulting in 2 citations.
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Sabia, Joseph J. Mackay, Taylor Nguyen, Thanh Tam Dave, Dhaval |
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Do Ban the Box Laws Increase Crime? NBER Working Paper No. 24381, National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2018. Also: http://www.nber.org/papers/w24381 Cohort(s): NLSY97 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Keyword(s): Arrests; Crime; Criminal Justice System; Discrimination; Geocoded Data; State-Level Data/Policy Ban-the-box (BTB) laws, which prevent employers from asking prospective employees about their criminal histories at initial job screenings, have been adopted by 25 states and the District of Columbia. Using data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System, the Uniform Crime Reports, and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, this study is the first to estimate the effect of BTB laws on crime. We find some evidence that BTB laws are associated with an increase in property crime among working-age Hispanic men. This finding is consistent with employer-based statistical discrimination as well as potential moral hazard. A causal interpretation of our results is supported by placebo tests on policy leads and a lack of BTB-induced increases in crime for non-Hispanic whites and women. Finally, we find that BTB laws are associated with a reduction in property crime among older and white individuals, consistent with labor-labor substitution toward those with perceived lower probabilities of having criminal records (Doleac and Hansen 2017). [Also presented at Austin TX, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, April 2019] |
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Bibliography Citation
Sabia, Joseph J., Taylor Mackay, Thanh Tam Nguyen and Dhaval Dave. "Do Ban the Box Laws Increase Crime?" NBER Working Paper No. 24381, National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2018. |
| 2. |
Sabia, Joseph J. Nguyen, Thanh Tam Mackay, Taylor Dave, Dhaval |
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The Unintended Effects of Ban-the-Box Laws on Crime Journal of Law and Economics 64,4 (November 2021): DOI: 10.1086/715187. Also: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/715187 Cohort(s): NLSY97 Publisher: University of Chicago Press Keyword(s): Arrests; Crime; Discrimination; Geocoded Data; State-Level Data/Policy Ban-the-box (BTB) laws, which prevent employers from asking prospective employees about their criminal histories at initial job screenings, are intended to increase employment opportunities and reduce incentives for crime. This study is the first to comprehensively explore the relationship between BTB laws and arrests. Using data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System, we find that BTB laws are associated with a 16 percent increase in criminal incidents involving Hispanic male arrestees. This finding is supported by parallel analysis using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 and is consistent with BTB-law-induced job loss due to employer-based statistical discrimination. We find less evidence that BTB laws increase property crime among African American men. Supplemental analyses from the American Community Survey suggest that barriers to welfare participation among Hispanic men may partially explain this result. Our estimates suggest that BTB laws generate approximately $350 million in additional annual crime costs. |
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Bibliography Citation
Sabia, Joseph J., Thanh Tam Nguyen, Taylor Mackay and Dhaval Dave. "The Unintended Effects of Ban-the-Box Laws on Crime." Journal of Law and Economics 64,4 (November 2021): DOI: 10.1086/715187.
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