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Author: McCall, Brian P.

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1.	Ahlburg, Dennis McCall, Brian P.
1.	A Hazard Model of College with Endogenous Waiting Presented: Washington DC, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, March-April 2016 Cohort(s): NLSY79, NLSY97 Publisher: Population Association of America Keyword(s): College Dropouts; College Enrollment; College Graduates; Modeling, Hazard/Event History/Survival/Duration Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. Using data from NLSY79 and NLSY97 we investigate college attendance, dropout, and graduation behavior of high school graduates. Bivariate duration models, which allow the unobserved determinants of spell durations to be correlated across spells, are developed and used to study the impact of waiting time until college enrollment on college dropout and graduation. In NLSY79 we find that delaying college entry by one year after high school reduces the probability of graduating by up to 32 percent in models that account for the endogeneity of delaying enrollment. We also found that those who delay entry to college have hourly wages that are 9.2 percent less than those who did not delay. There is also evidence that the largest impact of delay occurs for those with lower ability. We are currently estimating the model on NLSY97 data and will compare the results for the two cohorts.
	Bibliography Citation Ahlburg, Dennis and Brian P. McCall. "A Hazard Model of College with Endogenous Waiting." Presented: Washington DC, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, March-April 2016.

2.	Budd, John W. McCall, Brian P.
2.	The Effect of Unions on the Receipt of Unemployment Insurance Benefits Industrial and Labor Relations Review 50,3 (April 1997): 478-492. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2525186 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: New York State School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Keyword(s): Benefits, Insurance; Unemployment Compensation; Unemployment Insurance; Unions Using National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data for the period 1979-1991, a study analyzes the effect of union representation on the likelihood that individuals eligible for unemployment insurance (UI) benefits actually received those benefits. The study finds that unions had no statistically significant effect on the probability of benefit receipt among white-collar workers, but among eligible blue-collar workers, those who were laid off from union jobs were roughly 23% more likely than comparable nonunion workers to receive UI benefits. Although the analyze does not identify the reasons for this difference, 2 factors it appears to rule out as determinants are union- negotiated supplemental unemployment benefit plans and differences between union and nonunion workers in expected unemployment durations. Copyright New York State School of Industrial & Labor Relations 1997. Fulltext online. Photocopy available from ABI/INFORM.
	Bibliography Citation Budd, John W. and Brian P. McCall. "The Effect of Unions on the Receipt of Unemployment Insurance Benefits." Industrial and Labor Relations Review 50,3 (April 1997): 478-492.

3.	McCall, Brian P.
3.	An Empirical Analysis of Youth Joblessness Durations Presented: Madison, WI, Industrial Relations Research Association Annual Meeting, 1990 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Industrial Relations Research Association ==> LERA Keyword(s): Gender Differences; Labor Force Participation; Racial Differences; Unemployment; Unemployment Duration; Unemployment, Youth Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. This paper examines the determinants of the length of joblessness durations for youth leaving their first job. Estimates are derived from a log-normal duration model. Utilizing the NLSY 1979-1985 Work history data, it was found that longer joblessness durations were experienced by black youth and less educated youth. Some evidence was found that increased job experience reduced the duration of joblessness for women.
	Bibliography Citation McCall, Brian P. "An Empirical Analysis of Youth Joblessness Durations." Presented: Madison, WI, Industrial Relations Research Association Annual Meeting, 1990.

4.	McCall, Brian P.
4.	Occupational Matching: A Test of Sorts Journal of Political Economy 98,1 (February 1990): 45-69. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2937641 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: University of Chicago Press Keyword(s): Job Search; Job Tenure; Job Turnover; Occupations; Quits A theory of job matching is developed in which matching information has job- specific and occupation-specific components. If occupational matching is significant, the theory predicts that, for those who have switched jobs but stayed in the same occupation, increased tenure in the previous job lowers the likelihood of separation from the current job. These predictions were tested using data from the NLSY; this panel data set follows 12,686 youths, aged 14 to 22 years in 1979, over the period 1979-1985. Using a proportional hazards approach, it was found that, in general, tenure in the previous job had a significantly negative impact on the separation rate from the current job. However, for those who had switched occupations between jobs, the magnitude of this effect was significantly less. Similar results were obtained when job quits were analyzed separately using a competing risks approach. [ABI/INFORM]
	Bibliography Citation McCall, Brian P. "Occupational Matching: A Test of Sorts." Journal of Political Economy 98,1 (February 1990): 45-69.

5.	McCall, Brian P.
5.	Studies of Sequential Choice in Labor Market Ph.D. Dissertation, Princeton University, 1988 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: UMI - University Microfilms, Bell and Howell Information and Learning Keyword(s): Heterogeneity; Job Search; Job Turnover; Mobility, Occupational; Occupational Choice This dissertation investigates problems of sequential job choice when jobs are characterized by significant uncertainty, the importance of which may differ from job to job, and where information revealed at one job may be useful for predicting the outcomes at other jobs. Recent results in the statistical theory of multi-armed bandits are used to determine the optimal sampling strategies for workers in this environment. Chapter 1 develops a model of job search where jobs are not identical and where not all information of value is revealed before a job is accepted. In this case, the optimal sampling strategy implies that jobs with more residual uncertainty are, ceteris paribus, ranked higher and associated with a lower reservation wage, which governs job acceptance. This gives a very simple explanation of why reservation wages might increase over an unemployment spell. Chapter 2 of this dissertation tries to determine whether matching occurs at an occupational level. A dynamic model of job choice is developed where matching information is comprised of job-specific and occupation-specific components. One empirical prediction derived from the theory is that, if occupation matching is significant, those working their second job in an occupation would be less likely to quit than those working their first job. This prediction is tested using weekly employment data from the NLSY and semi-parametric hazard estimation techniques which control for unobserved heterogeneity. The predictions of the model are confirmed but only for those working their second job in a occupation who, in addition, had tenure in their first job exceeding one year. Finally, Chapter 3 develops a model of occupational choice where matching information is partly occupation-specific, workers risk being fired, and interoccupational job switches may be significantly more costly, due to training, thenintraoccupational job switches. It is shown that, when job switching costs are low and training costs negligible, workers find occupations with larger match uncertainty and where information tends to be occupation-specific more attractive. If it is more costly to move between occupations than within an occupation, then a worker likes occupations where information is relatively job-specific. [UMI ADG89-04319]
	Bibliography Citation McCall, Brian P. Studies of Sequential Choice in Labor Market. Ph.D. Dissertation, Princeton University, 1988.

6.	McCall, Brian P. Chi, Wei
6.	Unemployment Insurance, Unemployment Durations and Re-employment Wages Economics Letters 99,1 (April 2008): 115-118. Also: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176507002236 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Elsevier Keyword(s): Heterogeneity; Unemployment; Unemployment Duration; Unemployment Insurance; Wage Models We develop an empirical model to estimate the impact of UI on unemployment duration and re-employment wages. The model estimates the UI receipt, unemployment duration and re-employment wage equations simultaneously, incorporates unobserved heterogeneity variables in each equation and allows them to be correlated. The NLSY79 data is used to estimate the model. Some results are found in support of the positive effect of UI on re-employment wages.
	Bibliography Citation McCall, Brian P. and Wei Chi. "Unemployment Insurance, Unemployment Durations and Re-employment Wages." Economics Letters 99,1 (April 2008): 115-118.

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