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Title: Estimating Criminal and Criminogenic Outcomes Across Racial Differences Using Propensity Score Matching
Resulting in 1 citation.
1. Moses, Natasha Tanise
Wright, John Paul
Estimating Criminal and Criminogenic Outcomes Across Racial Differences Using Propensity Score Matching
Presented: Atlanta GA, American Society of Criminology Annual Meeting, November 2018
Cohort(s): NLSY97
Publisher: American Society of Criminology
Keyword(s): Arrests; Behavior, Antisocial; Crime; Family Background and Culture; Incarceration/Jail; Propensity Scores; Racial Differences; Socioeconomic Status (SES); Substance Use

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Research using risk scores to predict criminal and criminogenic outcomes typically compares individuals within the same risk group (for example: low-risk, medium-risk or high-risk). This paper adopts a different approach by matching individuals based on numerical scores, rather than risk group. Using National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 97 Data, a racially diverse sample of youth was ranked for criminogenic risk based on an index. The index contains empirical criminogenic risk factors such as family socio-economic status, anti-social behavior and substance abuse. Propensity score matching is used to match low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk Black, White and Hispanic youth who are more similar to each other. Each group will be assessed to determine whether risk group predicts a variety of criminal outcomes (including arrest, conviction and length of time incarcerated) during adulthood. We conclude with explanations of findings, limitations and suggestions for future research.
Bibliography Citation
Moses, Natasha Tanise and John Paul Wright. "Estimating Criminal and Criminogenic Outcomes Across Racial Differences Using Propensity Score Matching." Presented: Atlanta GA, American Society of Criminology Annual Meeting, November 2018.