([test group] < 4)
COMMENT: if TXGROUP < 4, ask EXP-200

These next questions will ask you for your best guess at the chance that something will happen within the next year or next five years. You can think of the PERCENT CHANCE that some event will occur as the number of CHANCES OUT OF 100 that the event will take place.

If you think that something is impossible, consider it as having a 0 percent chance. If you think the event is possible but unlikely, you might say there is a 3 percent chance or a 15 percent chance. If you think the chance is pretty even, you can say there is a 46 percent chance or perhaps a 52 percent chance. If you think the event is likely, but not certain, you might say there is a 78 percent chance or a 94 percent chance. If you think it is certain to happen, give it a 100 percent chance. Of course, you don't have to use these examples, use any number from 0 to 100 as you think appropriate.

([test group] = 1)
COMMENT: if TXGROUP = 1, ask EXP-210

Think about yourself one year from now. What is the percent chance that you will move within the next year?

Think about yourself one year from now. What is the percent chance that you will be married?

([test group] = 3)
COMMENT: if TXGROUP = 3, go to EXP-1310

([gender] = 1)
COMMENT: if R is male, go to EXP-1000A

What is the percent chance you will become pregnant within one year from now?

What is the percent chance that you will get someone pregnant within the next year?

Now think about five years from now, you will be [R's calculated age in 5 years] years old. We will start again with questions about what you expect to be doing in terms of school and work.

What is the percent chance that you will be a student in a regular school five years from now?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY REGULAR SCHOOL SAY: REGULAR SCHOOL IS ONE THAT OFFERS AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE: E.G., ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, HIGH SCHOOL, COLLEGE, GRADUATE SCHOOL, LAW SCHOOL, OR NURSING PROGRAM LEADING TO AN RN DEGREE. NOT INCLUDED AS REGULAR SCHOOL ARE: TRAINING AT A TECHNICAL INSTITUTE, LICENSE TRADE PROGRAMS, ETC., UNLESS THE CREDITS OBTAINED ARE TRANSFERRABLE TO A REGULAR SCHOOL AND COULD COUNT TOWARD AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE.)1

Now think ahead to when you turn 30 years old. What is the percent chance that you will have a four-year college degree by the time you turn 30?

Now think about five years from now, you will be [R's calculated age in 5 years] years old. What is the percent chance that you will be married?

What is the percent chance that you will have [a/another] child within the next five years?

([test group] = 3)
COMMENT: if TXGROUP = 3, go to the end of the section

Now looking across your entire life, what is the percent chance that you will ever have [any/anymore] children?

What is the percent chance that you will have three or [more/more additional] children?

What is the percent chance that you will have exactly [two/two more] children?