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Title: Leaving School in an Economic Downturn: Long-Run Effects on Marriage and Fertility
Resulting in 1 citation.
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Maclean, Johanna Catherine Covington, Reginald Sikora, Asia |
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Leaving School in an Economic Downturn: Long-Run Effects on Marriage and Fertility Presented: Boston MA, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, May 2014 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Population Association of America Keyword(s): Divorce; Dropouts; Economic Changes/Recession; Fertility; Marriage Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. In this study we assess the long-run impact of leaving school in an economic downturn on marriage and fertility outcomes. We draw data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979. Our sample left school between 1976 and 1996, and we utilize variation in the state unemployment rate at the time of school-leaving to identify marriage and fertility effects. We find that men who left school in an economic downturn are less likely to be married and have children at age 40 than otherwise similar men while women are more likely to be divorced and to have children. Our results suggest that the marriage and fertility effects we observe operate through both divorce and failure to enter marriage. In an extension, we explore heterogeneity by worker characteristics and document the strongest effects for low skill and minority men. |
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Bibliography Citation
Maclean, Johanna Catherine, Reginald Covington and Asia Sikora. "Leaving School in an Economic Downturn: Long-Run Effects on Marriage and Fertility." Presented: Boston MA, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, May 2014. |