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Title: The Influence of Police Interventions and Alternative Income Sources on the Dynamic Process of Choosing Crime as a Career
Resulting in 1 citation.
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Phillips, Llad Votey, Harold L. |
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The Influence of Police Interventions and Alternative Income Sources on the Dynamic Process of Choosing Crime as a Career Journal of Quantitative Criminology 3,3 (September 1987): 251-273. Also: http://www.springerlink.com/content/w06t5j70247513n6/ Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Plenum Publishing Corporation Keyword(s): Behavior, Antisocial; Behavioral Differences; Behavioral Problems; Crime; Data Analysis; Delinquency/Gang Activity; Illegal Activities; Income; Markov chain / Markov model; Statistical Analysis An attempt is made to demonstrate that a rational process of choices, influenced by both deterrence efforts and economic factors, underlies the self-sorting process by youth into three subpopulations: (1) those who never experiment with crime, (2) those who experiment and thereafter desist from criminal behavior, and (3) those who persist in criminal lifestyles. A simple Markov model is used to illustrate the probabilities of transition between the groups, and to describe the effects of perceived probability of apprehension/punishment and the availability or lack of income opportunities on the self-sorting process. Application of the model to data on 12,686 United States youth aged 14-24 who were part of the 1982 NLSY supports the existence of a learning effect from police contact that tends to reduce future criminal behavior when alternative, legitimate sources of income are available. [Sociological Abstracts, Inc.] |
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Bibliography Citation
Phillips, Llad and Harold L. Votey. "The Influence of Police Interventions and Alternative Income Sources on the Dynamic Process of Choosing Crime as a Career." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 3,3 (September 1987): 251-273.
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