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Author: Merola, Stacey
Resulting in 2 citations.
1. Merola, Stacey
Timing of Dropout Decisions: Rethinking the ABCs
Presented: Washington DC, American Evaluation Association Annual Conference, October 2013
Cohort(s): NLSY97
Publisher: American Evaluation Association
Keyword(s): Achievement; Dropouts; Social Environment

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

In this paper we demonstrate the benefits of using longitudinal data to understand the reasons why students dropout and the timing of their dropout decisions. Many early-warning systems are being developed to identify students at-risk for dropout. Most of these systems focus on the "ABC's": attendance, behavior, and course grades, with much of emphasis of interventions focusing on improving student achievement. Data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY97), were analyzed using survival analysis to assess the timing of dropout as related to reasons for dropping out. We found that even though students who exhibit difficulties in academics are often prioritized for dropout prevention services, academic problems do not precipitate dropout as quickly as other interpersonal and social factors. Students with academic difficulties stayed in school longer than all other types of dropouts, and students with interpersonal issues (i.e., those who indicated that school was too dangerous) were the first to exit.
Bibliography Citation
Merola, Stacey. "Timing of Dropout Decisions: Rethinking the ABCs." Presented: Washington DC, American Evaluation Association Annual Conference, October 2013.
2. Porowski, Allan
Merola, Stacey
Timing of College Dropout: Factors Related to Dropping Out and Persistence in College
Presented: San Antonio TX, American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting, April-May 2017
Cohort(s): NLSY97
Publisher: American Educational Research Association
Keyword(s): College Dropouts; Educational Attainment; Family Income; Grade Point Average (GPA)/Grades

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Survival and ROC analyses were conducted using a nationally representative sample from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY-97) to investigate dropout from four- and two-year colleges. We found that dropout from four-year colleges seems to follow what may be considered a more "traditional" pattern based on prior literature. Students were less likely to drop out of four-year schools if they had higher high school GPAs and came from families with higher household incomes. Predictors of two-year college dropout are largely different (and sometimes the opposite) from predictors of four-year college dropout, yet the dynamics of dropout follow a similar pattern at both types of schools, with approximately 25% of dropout occurring in the first semester.
Bibliography Citation
Porowski, Allan and Stacey Merola. "Timing of College Dropout: Factors Related to Dropping Out and Persistence in College." Presented: San Antonio TX, American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting, April-May 2017.